Categories
Minor League Fantasy

A History of the MiLF: The League’s Inaugural Season

The year was 2015, and Bane had convinced us to put together a fantasy football league. I decided to be the commissioner because, why the fuck not, right? Like, who wouldn’t want that power? We scraped the bottom of the barrel to throw together a ten team league, which included four team managers that had actually played fantasy football before and six absolute idiots. The draft went about as well as expected.

Team manager Dann Andrews managed to land the 1.01, and used it to pick up Andrew Luck. A few picks later, Scott (the league Taco) took David Cobb at the 1.05 (this wasn’t something that stuck out to me in remembering this season, but as I was reading through the draft board I found myself wondering, “Who the fuck is David Cobb?” and had to look up his stat history. Great move, Scott). One pick later, at the 1.06, I took Antonio Brown, for reference.

In the second round, I got the steal of a lifetime by grabbing C.J. Anderson, who had somehow fallen to the 2.05 after being rated the number seven pick overall on my ESPN cheat sheet. He would go on to single handedly ruin my first season of fantasy football. God, I still hate C.J. Anderson. If C.J. Anderson got picked up as the only running back for the Kansas City Chiefs, I would draft him in the first round to sit him on my bench. He still needs to sit and think about what he did.

Later in the draft, Noll (who would somehow go on to win the league) drafted Santana Moss, who was no longer in the NFL. None of us realized this until I attempted to import the draft results into Yahoo.

We clearly knew what we were doing as a league. Four quarterbacks went off the board in the first two rounds of a ten man one quarterback league. I feel slightly dirty now looking at the draft board and realizing I took a quarterback in the fourth round.

Throughout that first regular season, a couple of teams were dominant. Kindra’s 2015 team was, statistically, the best team of the season, and is the third best team in MiLF history with a legacy power rating of 1.26. She finished the regular season with a 10-3 record.

Kyle’s 2015 team was the second best team of the season, and is currently rated as the fifth best team in MiLF history with a legacy power rating of 1.23. He finished the regular season with a record of 10-2-1 (his tie with Ben in the 2015 season is still the only tie in league history).

Down on the other end of the league leaderboard, Dann’s team had died in a plane crash after week one, and he finished the season with a 2-11 record. His 2015 (and only) team finds itself comfortably positioned as the worst team in league history, with a legacy power rating of 0.59.

Somewhere in the middle of the pack, Noll’s team was chugging along with a 7-6 record, being just about as average as a team could be with a legacy power rating of 1.02.

Kyle’s team was upset by Logan in the first round of the playoffs, while Noll easily dispatched Bane.

On the other side of the bracket, Kindra’s powerhouse team knocked out Hughes, and I somehow (after being absolutely railed by C.J. Anderson all season) put up the high score of the week to take out Scott.

In the semifinals, a lackluster performance by Noll was enough to eliminate Logan, and Kindra finished what my second round running back had started and killed my championship dreams. Fuck C.J. Anderson.

The finals matchup was set. Kindra’s team that had been dominant all season versus Noll’s perfectly mediocre team that was somehow finding ways to take him all the way.

Kindra’s team choked (putting up ~40 fantasy points less than she had against me the week prior), and Noll pulled out the biggest upset the league had ever seen.

Granted, it was only our first year. But that’s one hell of a storyline, and one hell of a way to kick off a league.

We were hooked. The league was established. Change was on the horizon. But that’s a story for another time.

Fuck C.J. Anderson.

Categories
Minor League Fantasy

A Bit Of Luck

After thinking about how much I enjoyed the “luck” analysis that Robbie does over in the DSL, I decided to adopt the same type of system for the MiLF for the coming season. After building out my tool, I began a process that you all know I love: mining through the data from previous seasons to gather data and statistics to use in new analysis.

As of right now, I’ve run the luck analysis through the first four seasons of the MiLF (2015 through 2018). I’ve got some ideas about ways I want to look at this data and use it once I have the full history run through it, but I thought I would spit out a few interesting tidbits at this early point for shits and giggles.

  1. All four champions of the league through the first four years fall within the top six slots on the historical luck chart (in slots 2, 3, 4, and 6). This doesn’t mean that these teams weren’t good without luck (except for Noll’s 2015 championship team), it just means that their actual season win percentage had a high positive variance from what might have already been a respectable win percentage when compared to every possible opponent week to week. In a lot of these seasons, the teams that were getting the luck didn’t necessarily need it.
  2. The luckiest team on the board so far is Bieber’s 2017 team that ended up finishing in 5th place after a loss in the first round of the playoffs. Bieber’s actual season win percentage was 81.25%, which was a positive variance of 26.37% when compared to his total win percentage (compared against every possible opponent week to week) of 54.88%.
  3. The luckiest championship team on the board is Bane’s 2018 team, with a positive win percentage variance of 20.73%.
  4. The unluckiest team on the board so far is Phil’s 2017 team that finished in 12th place (dead last). His actual season win percentage was a dismal 7.69%, reflecting a negative variance of 32.17% from his total win percentage (compared against every possible opponent week to week) of 39.86%. I mean, with a team that bad, it probably didn’t matter in the grand scheme of things.
  5. The unluckiest team on the board where it looks like luck probably actually fucked up somebody’s season is Bane’s 2017 team that finished in 7th place, currently coming in at the second unluckiest team on the board. Bane’s actual season win percentage was 43.75%, which showed a negative 24.54% variance from his total win percentage of 68.29%.

I’ll share more as I work through it.

Troll tide, fellers.

Categories
Minor League Fantasy

Data Migration Complete

We have completed the process of transferring over information from the legacy MiLF (Minor League Fantasy) website that was formerly located at www.minorleaguefantasy.com. This URL now points to the MiLF landing page here on the TROLLTIDE Fantasy site.

It may take up to 24 hours for the URL forwarding to be properly propagated, but the legacy site is officially dead.

Just like the “Attention Tax.”

Troll tide, fellers.

Categories
Minor League Fantasy

Historical Trolling

While I was doing some research for an upcoming project, I was reminded of this exchange from the 2019 season that provides a pretty perfect illustration of Scott and his team management style.

To set the scene, it was very early in the season and Scott had just pulled an upset over Kyle (really, isn’t any win that Scott gets an upset?), when the following exchange came through on Sleeper:

Scott: How them dicks taste?

Kyle: Scott, if you can name any one player on your team and the team that they play for I will give you $20.00.

Scott: I cannot.

Categories
Minor League Fantasy

Roster Churning

With the MiLF (Minor League Fantasy) League’s expansion from a 12 team league to a 14 team league for the 2021 season, we are making some significant changes to the league’s roster compositions. The roster composition we had been using through the 2020 season was as follows:

Legacy Roster Composition

Quarterback – 1
Running Back – 2
Wide Receiver – 2
Tight End – 1
FLEX (WRT) – 3
Bench – 7

Using this old roster setup, each team was rostering a total of 16 players (including bench). This meant that across the 12 teams in the league, a total of 192 players were rostered at any given point.

As we transition into the 14 team league, we wanted to adjust the roster composition in a way that would accomplish a few key things:

  1. Ideally, decrease the total number of players rostered to make the waiver and free agent pool more impactful. At the least, do not increase the total number of players rostered. Free agency was already kind of a nightmare, particularly with the deep benches.
  2. Reduce bench sizes. We wanted to do this to force team managers into more active or thoughtful management of their teams, and also hopefully generate some more movement of players through waivers and free agency.
  3. Structure the active roster composition for starters in a way that allows for flexibility. Making the composition for a team manager’s active lineup more flexible allows for a wider array of management strategies from the draft onward. It also allows for adjustments to be made more easily as one team manager reacts to the moves of the other managers.

With those ideas in mind, a new roster composition was designed that we will be using moving forward.

New Roster Composition – 2021 Season

Quarterback – 1
Running Back – 1
Wide Receiver – 1
Tight End – 1
FLEX (WRT) – 3
SUPERFLEX (QWRT) – 1
Bench – 5

Using this roster setup, each team manager will be rostering a total of 13 players (including bench). This means that across the 14 teams in the league, a total of 182 players will be rostered at any given point. This is 10 fewer players than were rostered across the league with 12 teams using the previous roster composition.

I’m very excited for us to play with this roster composition this season, take it for a spin, kick the tires a bit, and see where we land on it at the end of the season.

The addition of the SUPERFLEX spot will drastically change the prioritization of quarterbacks across the front end of the draft. Dropping the requirements for running back and wide receiver slots from 2 to 1 each should allow for a much broader approach to the draft and team management. Dropping the bench size a couple of spots should slightly increase the importance of scheduling around your players’ bye weeks, etc.

I’m excited to see all of the interesting and terrifying ways you maniacs approach this season with the new roster composition.

Troll tide, fellers. Troll tide.

Categories
Minor League Fantasy

MiLF Welcomes New Managers

The MiLF (Minor League Fantasy) League is welcoming two new team managers for the 2021 season, as we expand from a twelve team league to a fourteen team league. Please join us in welcoming Corey and Catherine!

Corey drafted with us last year for the 2020 season via the Make A Wish program. When we saw how poorly he drafted Phil’s team, we knew we had to add him as a full fledged team manager so we could take his money year after year (for as long as he’s with us). Corey enjoys walks on the beach, a nice glass of wine, and making people uncomfortable.

Catherine has been trying to get into the league for some time. I don’t understand why. The bar for her is extremely low with her being Phil’s sister, but that just means it will be easier for her to prove definitively that she is the superior Driver. Maybe now that there are two women in the league someone can finally shatter the fantasy football glass ceiling and take home a championship for the fairer sex.